SpaceX filed its S-1 last week with a $1.75 trillion valuation, hoping to raise between $75 and $80 billion. The headline grabber is that 47% of the prospectus talks about AI — more than it spends on Starlink or rockets. A company that currently makes almost none of its money from artificial intelligence has built its entire investor story around the idea that AI is coming and SpaceX will be there when it does.
The business underneath the pitch tells a different story. Starlink is pulling in $11.4 billion in revenue, 61% of the company's total $18.7 billion, at solid margins (39% GAAP, 63% EBITDA). That part is a real business with real numbers. The rocket-launching side is bleeding: the Space division posted a $657 million operating loss in 2025 on $4 billion in revenue, with another $3 billion going into R&D.
So you've got a profitable satellite internet company strapped to an expensive rocket program, both wrapped in an AI narrative that hasn't shown up in the financials yet. The valuation is priced on a bet about where the company will be, not what it earns today. That isn't automatically wrong, but it's worth seeing clearly before you take the pitch at face value.